Where the market is wrong on Juventus v Parma
Juventus meet Parma in the Serie A regular season - 2 at Allianz Stadium, Turin.
Juventus rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1420. Recent form leans Juventus, 75% against 40%. Attacking output favors Juventus on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 17%, over 2.5 goals around 23%. Draw no bet leans Juventus at 70%; double chance reads Juventus or draw 80%, Parma or draw 54%.
Juventus arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Parma, W 1-0 @ Frosinone, W 2-0 v Palermo, L 1-2 v Inter.
Parma are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Juventus, L 0-1 v Cagliari, W 2-0 v Catania, L 0-2 v Sampdoria.
Juventus hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Juventus 2-0 Parma.
The market prices JUV at 77% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 18.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
