Orsomarso v Real Cartagena: the model read
Orsomarso meet Real Cartagena in the Primera B clausura - 8 at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja.
The baseline ratings are close, 1432 to 1528, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Real Cartagena, 53% against 42%. Attacking output favors Real Cartagena on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.8 per match.
Orsomarso arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Real Cartagena, W 2-0 v Real Cundinamarca, D 1-1 @ Patriotas, D 0-0 @ Union Magdalena.
Real Cartagena are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Orsomarso, L 0-3 v Tigres FC, W 6-1 @ Leones FC, W 2-0 v Bogota FC.
Real Cartagena hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Orsomarso 0-1 Real Cartagena.
The market prices ORS at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
