Real Cartagena v Real Santander: the model read
Real Cartagena meet Real Santander in the Primera B clausura - 1. The model makes Real Cartagena the most likely outcome at 54%, with the full read 54% REA, 27% draw, 19% REA.
Real Cartagena rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1535 to 1400. Recent form leans Real Cartagena, 55% against 15%. Attacking output favors Real Cartagena on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans Real Cartagena at 74%; double chance reads Real Cartagena or draw 81%, Real Santander or draw 46%.
Real Cartagena arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v Real Santander, L 1-2 @ America de Cali, D 1-1 @ Envigado, L 2-3 v Envigado.
Real Santander are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Real Cartagena, L 1-2 v Deportivo Cali, L 0-3 @ Alianza Valledupar, L 0-3 v Popayan.
Real Cartagena hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Real Cartagena 5-1 Real Santander.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
