Where the market is wrong on FC Cajamarca v Sport Huancayo
FC Cajamarca meet Sport Huancayo in the Primera División clausura - 3 at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca. The model makes Sport Huancayo the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 33% FC , 29% draw, 37% SPO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sport Huancayo, 45% against 35%. Attacking output favors Sport Huancayo on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 62%. Draw no bet leans Sport Huancayo at 53%; double chance reads FC Cajamarca or draw 63%, Sport Huancayo or draw 67%.
FC Cajamarca arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Deportivo Garcilaso, D 2-2 v Juan Pablo II College, L 1-3 @ UTC Cajamarca, D 1-1 v Deportivo Llacuabamba.
Sport Huancayo are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Atletico Grau, L 1-2 @ Alianza Lima, W 3-1 v Club Deportivo Los Chankas, W 1-0 v ADT.
Sport Huancayo hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sport Huancayo 2-0 FC Cajamarca.
The market prices FC at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on FC Cajamarca: a 3.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
