Where the market is wrong on HNK Gorica v HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica meet HNK Rijeka in the HNL regular season - 5 at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica, Velika Gorica.
HNK Rijeka rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1662 to 1408. Recent form leans HNK Rijeka, 71% against 33%. Attacking output favors HNK Rijeka on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.0 per match.
HNK Gorica arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 2 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v HNK Rijeka, L 0-2 @ NK Slaven Belupo, L 1-2 v HNK Hajduk Split, L 1-3 @ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
HNK Rijeka are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ HNK Gorica, L 1-4 v FC Midtjylland, W 3-2 v Istra 1961, L 0-2 @ FC Midtjylland.
HNK Rijeka hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: HNK Gorica 0-0 HNK Rijeka.
The market prices HNK at 18% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
