GEL v Linhares: the model read
GEL meet Linhares in the Capixaba B regular season - 4. The model makes Linhares the most likely outcome at 50%, with the full read 22% GEL, 29% draw, 50% LIN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Linhares, 35% against 15%. Attacking output favors Linhares on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans Linhares at 70%; double chance reads GEL or draw 50%, Linhares or draw 78%.
GEL arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 2 scored and 22 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Doze, D 1-1 @ CTE Colatina, L 0-5 v Estrela do Norte, L 0-7 @ Forte FC.
Linhares are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Doze, W 2-0 v Audax São Mateus, L 2-3 @ Serra Talhada, L 0-2 v Serra Talhada.
Linhares hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Linhares 5-0 GEL.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output