Pinheiros v Sport Brasil ES: the model read
Pinheiros meet Sport Brasil ES in the Capixaba B regular season - 2. The model makes Pinheiros the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% PIN, 29% draw, 29% SPO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Pinheiros, 50% against 38%. Attacking output favors Pinheiros on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 62%. Draw no bet leans Pinheiros at 60%; double chance reads Pinheiros or draw 71%, Sport Brasil ES or draw 58%.
Pinheiros arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 2 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ Estrela do Norte, L 0-1 v Sport Brasil ES, L 0-1 @ Tupy, L 1-3 v Sport Brasil ES.
Sport Brasil ES are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Rive, W 5-1 v Tupy, W 1-0 @ Pinheiros, L 0-3 @ Porto Vitória.
Sport Brasil ES hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pinheiros 0-1 Sport Brasil ES.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output