NEO v TEC: the model read
NEO meet TEC in the Derde Divisie - Relegation Round final. The model makes NEO the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% NEO, 28% draw, 28% TEC.
NEO rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1477. Recent form leans NEO, 75% against 45%. Attacking output favors NEO on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 69%. Draw no bet leans NEO at 60%; double chance reads NEO or draw 72%, TEC or draw 57%.
NEO arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-1L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ TEC, W 1-0 v TEC, W 3-2 @ JOS Watergraafsmeer, W 3-0 v JOS Watergraafsmeer.
TEC are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v NEO, L 0-1 @ NEO, W 2-0 v Heino, D 0-0 @ Heino.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
