Cienciano v Lanus: the model read
Cienciano meet Lanus in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana round of 32 at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 33% CIE, 34% draw, 33% LAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 53%. Attacking output favors Cienciano on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 22%. Draw no bet leans Lanus at 51%; double chance reads Cienciano or draw 67%, Lanus or draw 67%.
Cienciano arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Juan Pablo II College, L 0-2 @ Lanus, L 1-3 v FBC Melgar, L 2-3 v ADT.
Lanus are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v San Lorenzo, W 2-0 v Cienciano, L 1-2 @ Instituto Cordoba, W 1-0 v Mirassol.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
