Kauno Žalgiris v Šiauliai: the model read
Kauno Žalgiris meet Šiauliai in the A Lyga regular season - 32. The model makes Kauno Žalgiris the most likely outcome at 51%, with the full read 51% KAU, 27% draw, 22% ŠIA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1577 to 1458, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Kauno Žalgiris, 63% against 42%. Attacking output favors Kauno Žalgiris on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans Kauno Žalgiris at 70%; double chance reads Kauno Žalgiris or draw 78%, Šiauliai or draw 49%.
Kauno Žalgiris arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ KI Klaksvik, W 4-0 v Šiauliai, W 3-2 @ Drita, W 3-0 v Panevėžys.
Šiauliai are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 3 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Hegelmann Litauen, L 0-4 @ Kauno Žalgiris, L 0-3 v FK Zalgiris Vilnius, L 1-3 v TransINVEST Vilnius.
Kauno Žalgiris hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kauno Žalgiris 4-0 Šiauliai.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
