Where the market is wrong on Santos v Remo
Santos meet Remo in the Copa Do Brasil round of 16 at Vila Belmiro, undefined. The model makes Santos the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% SAN, 30% draw, 32% REM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1541 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 58% against 55%. Attacking output favors Santos on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Santos at 55%; double chance reads Santos or draw 68%, Remo or draw 62%.
Santos arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Chapecoense-sc, W 4-1 @ UCV, L 1-2 @ Botafogo, W 3-0 v União São João.
Remo are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Vitoria, L 0-3 @ Corinthians, W 1-0 v Sao Paulo, L 1-2 v Atletico Paranaense.
Santos hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Santos 2-0 Remo.
The market prices SAN at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on Remo: a 13.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
