Atletico Paranaense v Vitoria: the model read
Atletico Paranaense meet Vitoria in the Copa Do Brasil round of 16 at Arena da Baixada, Curitiba. The model makes Vitoria the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 33% ATL, 31% draw, 36% VIT.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Vitoria, 65% against 55%. Attacking output favors Vitoria on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans Vitoria at 52%; double chance reads Atletico Paranaense or draw 64%, Vitoria or draw 67%.
Atletico Paranaense arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Internacional, W 2-1 @ Sao Paulo, L 1-2 @ RB Bragantino, L 0-1 @ Boca Juniors.
Vitoria are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Remo, D 0-0 @ Botafogo, W 1-0 v Vasco DA Gama, W 2-1 v Fortaleza EC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
