CS Hammam-Lif v Stade Gabesien: the model read
CS Hammam-Lif meet Stade Gabesien in the Ligue 2 final - promotion. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 33% CS , 35% draw, 32% STA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1565 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 58% against 65%. Attacking output favors Stade Gabesien on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 26%, over 2.5 goals around 17%. Draw no bet leans CS Hammam-Lif at 51%; double chance reads CS Hammam-Lif or draw 68%, Stade Gabesien or draw 67%.
CS Hammam-Lif arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Stade Gabesien, W 1-0 v AS Kasserine, D 1-1 v ES Hammam-Sousse, D 0-0 @ Kerkennah.
Stade Gabesien are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ CS Hammam-Lif, W 2-0 v US Tataouine, L 1-2 @ CS Sfaxien, D 0-0 @ Djelma.
CS Hammam-Lif hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: CS Hammam-Lif 3-0 Stade Gabesien.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output