Guijuelo v Palencia CF: the model read
Guijuelo meet Palencia CF in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 final. The model makes Guijuelo the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% GUI, 29% draw, 30% PAL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Guijuelo, 68% against 53%. Attacking output favors Guijuelo on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans Guijuelo at 58%; double chance reads Guijuelo or draw 70%, Palencia CF or draw 59%.
Guijuelo arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Tamaraceite, W 2-1 v Tamaraceite, L 1-2 v Palencia CF, W 3-2 @ Palencia CF.
Palencia CF are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Guijuelo, L 2-3 v Guijuelo, L 0-1 @ Cristo Atlético, W 2-0 v Cristo Atlético.
Guijuelo hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Guijuelo 1-2 Palencia CF.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
