Peña Deportiva won the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 final against Manacor 3-1, a result shaped by a clinical second-half display that turned a tight contest into a comfortable victory. The Lemeister model had favoured the visitors, giving them a 41 percent chance of winning and projecting a 2-1 away success, a forecast that proved slightly conservative on the final margin.
Manacor took the lead in the 27th minute through M. Capella, a goal that gave the home side a platform to build upon. That advantage lasted only thirteen minutes, however, as Peña Deportiva equalised through M. Salinas in the 40th minute, sending the teams into the interval level. The timing of that equaliser was significant, denying Manacor the psychological boost of a half-time lead and setting the stage for what followed.
The decisive phase came immediately after the restart. A. Mubarak put the visitors ahead in the 47th minute, and N. Ortiz extended the lead to two goals in the 55th minute, completing the scoring. That double strike in the opening ten minutes of the second half effectively ended the contest, as Manacor were unable to mount a response. The sequence of goals highlights a period of defensive vulnerability for the home side, who conceded three times across a 28-minute span from the 40th to the 55th minute.
The match statistics are not available to provide a detailed breakdown of possession, shots or expected goals, but the goal timeline offers a clear narrative. Manacor's early strike demonstrated their ability to create and convert opportunities, yet their failure to maintain that lead before half-time proved costly. Peña Deportiva's quick equaliser and their rapid second-half double demonstrated an efficient finishing touch that the home side could not match. All four goals were normal strikes, with no penalties or own goals, suggesting that both defences struggled to contain attacking play at critical moments.
No player ratings are present in the data to identify standout individual performances, and no substitutions or cards were recorded. The four named goalscorers were the only players to make a decisive mark on the scoreboard: M. Capella for Manacor, and M. Salinas, A. Mubarak and N. Ortiz for Peña Deportiva. The fact that Peña Deportiva had three different scorers across the match indicates a spread of attacking threat, while Manacor relied on a single contributor for their only goal. The absence of any disciplinary actions suggests a clean contest, with the outcome determined purely by goalscoring efficiency in the second period.
The final scoreline of 3-1 accurately reflects a game that Peña Deportiva controlled in terms of the result, even if the underlying data is absent. The Lemeister model's projection of a 2-1 away win was close to the eventual outcome, though the visitors added a third goal to create a slightly more comfortable margin than anticipated. The model had correctly identified Peña Deportiva as the favourite, and the result aligned with its overall assessment of the balance of the contest.
This result awards the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 title to Peña Deportiva, a significant achievement that will carry implications for promotion. For Manacor, the defeat in the final will be a painful end to a campaign that had taken them to the deciding match, but the opening goal from M. Capella showed they were capable of competing. The decisive factor was Peña Deportiva's ability to score three unanswered goals, claiming the silverware with a comprehensive second-half performance that left Manacor unable to recover.
