Compostela won the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 final 2-1 against Atlético Arteixo in a contest decided by a second-half flurry of goals and superior efficiency in front of goal. The Lemeister model had projected a narrow away win, giving Atlético Arteixo a 36 per cent chance compared to Compostela's 34 per cent, with the draw rated at 30 per cent. The model's projected scoreline of 1-2 in favour of the visitors was overturned by the home side's clinical conversion of chances in the final half-hour. Without detailed statistical data available, the analysis must focus on the goal timings and the contributions of the three named scorers.
The opening goal arrived in the 17th minute when A. Armental found the net for Compostela. The strike gave his side an early advantage and set the tone for a match that remained tight until the second half. Compostela held that lead until the 62nd minute, when P. Agullo scored for Atlético Arteixo to level the contest. With both sides then on one goal apiece, the match entered its decisive phase, and the next goal would prove crucial.
C. Lopez proved the match-winner in the 74th minute, netting Compostela's second goal. That strike restored the home side's lead, and no further goals followed in the remaining 16 minutes of normal time plus any added time. The three goals in the match all arrived in the second period of the opening half and the second half, with no additional goals or cards recorded after the 74th minute. Both teams made no substitutions across the 90 minutes, according to the available data, which suggests a settled starting eleven from each manager.
The match statistics and player ratings have not been provided in the source data, which limits the depth of the analysis that can be drawn from those figures. Without possession percentages, shot counts, expected goals or passing accuracy numbers, the narrative of control or territorial dominance cannot be established. What can be stated is that Compostela took two of their opportunities to convert them into goals, while Atlético Arteixo managed one goal from what are presumed to be their own chances. The result suggests Compostela were the more clinical side on the day, and this efficiency proved decisive in a final where margins were tight.
In the absence of detailed statistical breakdowns, the match largely comes down to the contributions of the three named scorers. A. Armental provided the early breakthrough with a goal in the 17th minute, giving Compostela a platform to build upon. P. Agullo ensured Atlético Arteixo remained competitive by equalising in the 62nd minute, a goal that kept his side in the contest and set up a tense final half-hour. C. Lopez sealed the victory with what proved to be the winner in the 74th minute, a strike that ultimately decided the final. No assists were recorded for any of the three goals, meaning each strike was scored without a direct pass from a teammate being credited in the data. This indicates that all three goals were individual efforts or resulted from build-up play that was not captured in the available information.
The victory gives Compostela the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 title, a significant achievement in a competition decided by a single final match. Atlético Arteixo, who entered as the Lemeister model's slight favourite with a 36 per cent chance of winning, finish as runners-up in the same competition. For Compostela, the result represents a triumph over the pre-match expectation, as they overcame a projected away win to claim the title on home soil. For Atlético Arteixo, it is a narrow defeat that overturned the statistical projection of a win, and they will reflect on a match that was decided by fine margins and clinical finishing. The competition context is straightforward: the final determines the group champion, and Compostela claimed that honour with a 2-1 victory that will be remembered for the contributions of Armental and Lopez in front of goal.
