Gharraf v Naft Maysan: the model read
Gharraf meet Naft Maysan in the Iraqi League regular season - 38. The model makes Naft Maysan the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 30% GHA, 31% draw, 39% NAF.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Naft Maysan, 50% against 35%. Attacking output favors Naft Maysan on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Naft Maysan at 56%; double chance reads Gharraf or draw 61%, Naft Maysan or draw 70%.
Gharraf arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Naft Maysan, W 3-1 @ Baghdad, D 2-2 @ Al Kahrabaa, D 2-2 v Al Karkh.
Naft Maysan are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Gharraf, L 0-2 v Al Quwa Al Jawiya, W 2-1 v Al Najaf, W 5-2 @ Al-Qasim.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gharraf 0-2 Naft Maysan.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output