Bandeirante SP v Marília: the model read
Bandeirante SP meet Marília in the Copa Paulista group stage - 3. The model makes Marília the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 24% BAN, 33% draw, 42% MAR.
Marília rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1420. Recent form leans Marília, 65% against 40%. Attacking output favors Marília on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 25%, over 2.5 goals around 25%. Draw no bet leans Marília at 63%; double chance reads Bandeirante SP or draw 58%, Marília or draw 76%.
Bandeirante SP arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Grêmio Prudente, D 0-0 v Linense, W 2-0 @ Rio Branco SP, L 1-2 v Catanduva.
Marília are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Linense, W 1-0 v Grêmio Prudente, L 0-2 @ Portuguesa Santista, D 2-2 v Portuguesa Santista.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
