Noroeste v União São João: the model read
Noroeste meet União São João in the Copa Paulista group stage - 2 at Estadio Alfredo de Castilho, Bauru. The model makes Noroeste the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% NOR, 32% draw, 30% UNI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 45%. Attacking output favors Noroeste on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 33%. Draw no bet leans Noroeste at 56%; double chance reads Noroeste or draw 70%, União São João or draw 62%.
Noroeste arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v União São João, L 0-2 @ Comercial, L 1-3 v Portuguesa RJ, D 1-1 @ Portuguesa RJ.
União São João are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Noroeste, D 0-0 v XV de Piracicaba, L 0-3 @ Santos, D 2-2 v EC São Bernardo.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
