Lesotho v Gabon: the model read
Lesotho meet Gabon in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1509, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Gabon, 50% against 37%. Attacking output favors Gabon on expected goals, 1.7 to 0.5 per match.
Lesotho arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Kenya, D 1-1 v Kenya, W 2-1 v Seychelles, D 0-0 @ Seychelles.
Gabon are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 7 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Trinidad and Tobago, L 1-3 @ Uzbekistan, L 2-3 v Ivory Coast, L 2-3 v Mozambique.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
