Icasa v Crateús: the model read
Icasa meet Crateús in the Cearense - 2 semi-finals. The model makes Icasa the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% ICA, 35% draw, 29% CRA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 57%. Attacking output favors Icasa on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 24%, over 2.5 goals around 17%. Draw no bet leans Icasa at 56%; double chance reads Icasa or draw 71%, Crateús or draw 64%.
Icasa arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Itapipoca, D 0-0 @ Itapipoca, W 3-0 v Crateús, D 0-0 @ Crateús.
Crateús are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Icasa, D 0-0 v Icasa, D 0-0 v Cariri, W 1-0 v Guarany de Sobral.
Icasa hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Icasa 3-0 Crateús.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output