Itapipoca v Crato: the model read
Itapipoca meet Crato in the Cearense - 2 semi-finals at Estadio Perilo Teixeira, Itapipoca. The model makes Crato the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 33% ITA, 32% draw, 35% CRA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 60%. Attacking output favors Crato on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 36%. Draw no bet leans Crato at 52%; double chance reads Itapipoca or draw 65%, Crato or draw 67%.
Itapipoca arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Icasa, D 0-0 v Icasa, W 2-0 v Crato, D 2-2 @ Crato.
Crato are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Itapipoca, D 2-2 v Itapipoca, W 3-1 v Guarany de Sobral, L 1-3 v Icasa.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
