Leioa v Touring: the model read
Leioa meet Touring in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 semi-finals. The model makes Touring the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 34% LEI, 30% draw, 36% TOU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 53%. Attacking output favors Touring on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Touring at 51%; double chance reads Leioa or draw 64%, Touring or draw 66%.
Leioa arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-11 v Athletic Club, L 0-2 @ Albacete II, W 1-0 v Albacete II, W 1-0 v Derio.
Touring are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Leioa, L 0-1 v Leioa, L 1-2 v San Ignacio, L 1-2 @ Derio.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
