Saguntino v La Nucía: the model read
Saguntino meet La Nucía in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 semi-finals. The model makes La Nucía the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 25% SAG, 35% draw, 39% LA .
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1673, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans La Nucía, 75% against 60%. Attacking output favors Saguntino on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 20%, over 2.5 goals around 15%. Draw no bet leans La Nucía at 61%; double chance reads Saguntino or draw 61%, La Nucía or draw 75%.
Saguntino arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v La Nucía, L 1-3 @ La Nucía, W 3-0 v Hércules II, W 4-0 @ Vall de Uxó.
La Nucía are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 3 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Trival Valderas, D 0-0 @ Trival Valderas, D 1-1 @ Levante II, W 1-0 v Levante II.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Saguntino 1-0 La Nucía.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
