Villarreal III v Levante II: the model read
Villarreal III meet Levante II in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 semi-finals. The model makes Villarreal III the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% VIL, 30% draw, 33% LEV.
The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Villarreal III, 70% against 57%. Attacking output favors Villarreal III on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans Villarreal III at 52%; double chance reads Villarreal III or draw 67%, Levante II or draw 63%.
Villarreal III arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Levante II, L 1-3 v Levante II, W 2-0 v Torrellano, W 1-0 @ Levante II.
Levante II are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v La Nucía, L 0-1 @ La Nucía, L 1-2 v Villarreal III, W 3-1 @ Villarreal III.
Villarreal III hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Levante II 1-2 Villarreal III.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
