Mazarrón FC v Real Murcia II: the model read
Mazarrón FC meet Real Murcia II in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 semi-finals. The model makes Mazarrón FC the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% MAZ, 30% draw, 32% REA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 60%. Attacking output favors Mazarrón FC on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 52%. Draw no bet leans Mazarrón FC at 54%; double chance reads Mazarrón FC or draw 68%, Real Murcia II or draw 62%.
Mazarrón FC arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Real Murcia II, D 1-1 v Real Murcia II, W 1-0 @ Atlético Pulpileño, L 2-3 v Águilas II.
Real Murcia II are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Pamplona, W 2-1 v Pamplona, W 2-1 v Olímpico Totana, D 1-1 @ Olímpico Totana.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Real Murcia II 2-0 Mazarrón FC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
