Crateús v Cariri: the model read
Crateús meet Cariri in the Cearense - 2 quarter-finals at Estadio Juvenal Melo, Crateus. The model makes Crateús the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 47% CRA, 33% draw, 20% CAR.
Crateús rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1400. Recent form leans Crateús, 57% against 28%. Attacking output favors Crateús on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 18%, over 2.5 goals around 24%. Draw no bet leans Crateús at 70%; double chance reads Crateús or draw 80%, Cariri or draw 53%.
Crateús arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Icasa, D 0-0 v Icasa, D 0-0 v Cariri, W 1-0 v Guarany de Sobral.
Cariri are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 1 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Crateús, D 0-0 @ Barbalha, L 0-1 v Crato, W 1-0 @ Icasa.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Crateús 0-0 Cariri.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
