Willem II v Almere City FC: the model read
Willem II meet Almere City FC in the Eerste Divisie semi-finals at Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg. The model makes Willem II the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% WIL, 29% draw, 29% ALM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1662 to 1577, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Willem II, 71% against 58%. Attacking output favors Almere City FC on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans Willem II at 59%; double chance reads Willem II or draw 71%, Almere City FC or draw 58%.
Willem II arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v FC Eindhoven, L 1-2 v Quick Boys, W 2-1 @ FC Volendam, L 1-2 v FC Volendam.
Almere City FC are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v FC Volendam, L 1-2 @ AZ Alkmaar, L 1-2 @ GO Ahead Eagles, W 2-1 v Telstar.
Willem II hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Willem II 2-0 Almere City FC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
