Pistoiese v Piacenza: the model read
Pistoiese meet Piacenza in the Serie D - Girone D semi-finals. The model makes Pistoiese the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% PIS, 31% draw, 28% PIA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1719 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Pistoiese, 80% against 65%. Attacking output favors Pistoiese on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans Pistoiese at 59%; double chance reads Pistoiese or draw 72%, Piacenza or draw 60%.
Pistoiese arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Piacenza, W 5-0 v Cittadella Vis Modena, D 1-1 @ Desenzano Calvina, L 0-1 v Coriano.
Piacenza are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Lentigione, W 3-1 @ Pistoiese, W 3-1 v Crema, L 0-1 @ Coriano.
Pistoiese hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pistoiese 1-3 Piacenza.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
