Grapiuna Itabuna v Leonico: the model read
Grapiuna Itabuna meet Leonico in the Baiano - 2 regular season - 9. The model makes Leonico the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 25% GRA, 27% draw, 48% LEO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Leonico, 32% against 18%. Attacking output favors Leonico on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 76%. Draw no bet leans Leonico at 66%; double chance reads Grapiuna Itabuna or draw 52%, Leonico or draw 75%.
Grapiuna Itabuna arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 0-6 v Leonico, W 3-1 @ Camaçari, L 0-7 v Feira FC, D 2-2 @ Redenção FC.
Leonico are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: W 6-0 @ Grapiuna Itabuna, W 5-2 v Jacobina, L 1-2 v Barreiras FC, L 0-3 @ Fluminense De Feira.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Grapiuna Itabuna 0-6 Leonico.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
