Vitoria v Ceara: the model read
Vitoria meet Ceara in the Copa do Nordeste quarter-finals at Barradao, Salvador. The model makes Vitoria the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% VIT, 30% draw, 29% CEA.
Vitoria rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1420. Recent form leans Vitoria, 60% against 38%. Attacking output favors Vitoria on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans Vitoria at 59%; double chance reads Vitoria or draw 71%, Ceara or draw 58%.
Vitoria arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Palmeiras, L 0-2 @ Remo, D 0-0 @ Botafogo, W 1-0 v Vasco DA Gama.
Ceara are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-3 @ São Bernardo, L 0-1 v CRB, D 1-1 @ America Mineiro, D 0-0 v Athletic Club.
The recent head-to-head is even, 5 apiece across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Vitoria 1-0 Ceara.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
