Celtic v Dunfermline: the model read
Celtic meet Dunfermline in the FA Cup final at Hampden Park, Glasgow. The model makes Celtic the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% CEL, 30% draw, 34% DUN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Celtic, 73% against 57%. Attacking output favors Celtic on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans Celtic at 52%; double chance reads Celtic or draw 66%, Dunfermline or draw 64%.
Celtic arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v AC Milan, D 1-1 v Middlesbrough, L 1-4 @ Sporting CP, D 1-1 @ Shelbourne.
Dunfermline are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 13 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ ST Mirren, W 5-0 v Cove Rangers, W 4-1 v Dumbarton, L 0-3 @ East Kilbride.
Celtic hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Celtic 3-1 Dunfermline.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
