Where the market is wrong on MyPa v PuiU Helsinki
MyPa meet PuiU Helsinki in the Kakkonen - Lohko A group a - 18 at Kymenlaakson Sahko Stadion, Kouvola.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 30% against 33%. Attacking output favors PuiU Helsinki on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 76%, over 2.5 goals around 79%. Draw no bet leans PuiU Helsinki at 56%; double chance reads MyPa or draw 60%, PuiU Helsinki or draw 68%.
MyPa arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v PuiU Helsinki, L 1-2 @ PPJ, L 1-4 @ PEPO, D 0-0 v Kiffen.
PuiU Helsinki are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ MyPa, L 1-3 v Kiffen, D 2-2 @ HIFK Helsinki, D 2-2 v Atlantis.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: MyPa 2-1 PuiU Helsinki.
The market prices MYP at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
