Luxembourg v Italy: the model read
Luxembourg meet Italy in the Friendlies friendly international at Stade de Luxembourg, Luxembourg.
Italy rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1400. Recent form leans Italy, 73% against 30%. Attacking output favors Italy on expected goals, 2.1 to 0.6 per match.
Luxembourg arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Albania, L 0-1 v Italy, W 3-0 v Malta, W 2-0 @ Malta.
Italy are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Greece, W 1-0 @ Luxembourg, D 1-1 @ Bosnia & Herzegovina, W 2-0 v Northern Ireland.
Italy hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Luxembourg 0-1 Italy.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
