MAFCO v Moyale Barracks: the model read
MAFCO meet Moyale Barracks in the Super League regular season - 15.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Moyale Barracks, 53% against 35%. Attacking output favors Moyale Barracks on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.8 per match.
MAFCO arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Moyale Barracks, L 0-1 @ CIVO United, D 1-1 v Masters FC, L 0-1 v Blue Eagles.
Moyale Barracks are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ MAFCO, D 2-2 v Kamuzu Barracks, L 0-1 @ Red Lions, D 1-1 v Be Forward Wanderers.
Moyale Barracks hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: MAFCO 1-2 Moyale Barracks.
The market prices MAF at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output