Tocantinópolis v União Carmolandense: the model read
Tocantinópolis meet União Carmolandense in the Tocantinense play offs at Estadio Joao Ribeiro, Tocantinopolis. The model makes União Carmolandense the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 32% TOC, 31% draw, 37% UNI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 57%. Attacking output favors Tocantinópolis on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans União Carmolandense at 54%; double chance reads Tocantinópolis or draw 63%, União Carmolandense or draw 68%.
Tocantinópolis arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 14 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 7-1 v Oratório, L 1-3 @ Águia de Marabá, L 1-4 @ Trem, W 2-0 v Imperatriz.
União Carmolandense are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Tocantinópolis, D 1-1 v Tocantinópolis, L 0-1 v Gurupi, W 2-1 @ Gurupi.
União Carmolandense hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tocantinópolis 2-1 União Carmolandense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
