Avangard Kursk v SKA Khabarovsk II

Avangard Kursk meet SKA Khabarovsk II in the Second League - Group 3 group 3 - 16 at Trudovye Rezervy Stadium, Kursk. The model makes Avangard Kursk the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% AVA, 29% draw, 30% SKA.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 45%. Attacking output favors SKA Khabarovsk II on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 67%, over 2.5 goals around 70%. Draw no bet leans Avangard Kursk at 57%; double chance reads Avangard Kursk or draw 70%, SKA Khabarovsk II or draw 59%.

Avangard Kursk arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v SKA Khabarovsk II, L 0-2 v FK Spartak Tambov, W 6-3 v Saturn Ramenskoye, L 0-2 @ Volna Nizhegorodskaya.

SKA Khabarovsk II are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Avangard Kursk, L 0-3 @ Ryazan, W 3-2 v Rotor-2, W 3-1 @ Kvant.

The market prices AVA at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on SKA Khabarovsk II: a 7.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.