Angust Nazran v Kyzyltash

Angust Nazran meet Kyzyltash in the Second League - Group 1 group 1 - 16. The model makes Kyzyltash the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 25% ANG, 34% draw, 41% KYZ.

Kyzyltash rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1535 to 1400. Recent form leans Kyzyltash, 53% against 32%. Attacking output favors Kyzyltash on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 23%, over 2.5 goals around 21%. Draw no bet leans Kyzyltash at 62%; double chance reads Angust Nazran or draw 59%, Kyzyltash or draw 75%.

Angust Nazran arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 1 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Kyzyltash, L 0-1 @ Sevastopol, L 1-2 v Rostov II, L 0-1 @ Lugansk.

Kyzyltash are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Angust Nazran, L 0-1 @ Nart Cherkessk, W 3-2 v Druzhba, W 3-2 @ Dynamo Makhachkala II.

Kyzyltash hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Angust Nazran 0-0 Kyzyltash.

The market prices ANG at 21% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 10.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.