South Korea W v Japan W: the model read
South Korea W meet Japan W in the Asian Cup Women semi-finals at Accor Stadium, Sydney. The model makes Japan W the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 25% SOU, 27% draw, 48% JAP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Japan W, 63% against 50%. Attacking output favors Japan W on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 75%. Draw no bet leans Japan W at 66%; double chance reads South Korea W or draw 52%, Japan W or draw 75%.
South Korea W arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 10 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Zambia W, L 1-3 @ Canada W, L 1-5 @ Brazil W, L 1-4 v Japan W.
Japan W are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v South Africa W, W 5-0 v South Africa W, L 0-3 @ USA W, W 1-0 @ USA W.
Japan W hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: South Korea W 1-4 Japan W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
