El Geish v Masr: the model read
El Geish meet Masr in the Cup semi-finals at Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium, Cairo. The model makes Masr the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 31% EL , 35% draw, 35% MAS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 53%. Attacking output favors Masr on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 27%, over 2.5 goals around 19%. Draw no bet leans Masr at 53%; double chance reads El Geish or draw 65%, Masr or draw 69%.
El Geish arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Wadi Degla, L 1-2 @ El Gouna FC, W 1-0 v Pharco, L 0-1 @ Al Ittihad.
Masr are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Wadi Degla, L 0-1 @ AL Masry, D 1-1 v Kahraba Ismailia, W 1-0 v AL Masry.
El Geish hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Masr 1-0 El Geish.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
