Kozani v Asteras Kard.: the model read
Kozani meet Asteras Kard. in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 losers stage - 4. The model makes Kozani the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% KOZ, 30% draw, 29% AST.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Kozani, 45% against 35%. Attacking output favors Asteras Kard. on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans Kozani at 59%; double chance reads Kozani or draw 71%, Asteras Kard. or draw 59%.
Kozani arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Sarakinos, W 2-0 v Asteras Kard., W 4-1 @ Akrites Sykeon, L 0-1 v Eordaikos.
Asteras Kard. are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Akrites Sykeon, L 0-2 @ Kozani, D 0-0 v Eordaikos, W 2-0 v Evosmou.
Kozani hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kozani 2-0 Asteras Kard..
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
