Corumbaense v Operario Ferroviario: the model read
Corumbaense meet Operario Ferroviario in the Sul-Matogrossense semi-finals. The model makes Operario Ferroviario the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 32% COR, 31% draw, 37% OPE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Operario Ferroviario, 55% against 43%. Attacking output favors Operario Ferroviario on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 44%. Draw no bet leans Operario Ferroviario at 53%; double chance reads Corumbaense or draw 63%, Operario Ferroviario or draw 68%.
Corumbaense arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Operario Ferroviario, L 1-2 v Operario Ferroviario, W 2-0 v Dourados Atlético, D 1-1 @ Dourados Atlético.
Operario Ferroviario are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Ipatinga, W 2-0 v CRAC, L 0-2 @ ABECAT Ouvidorense, W 2-0 v Ivinhema.
Operario Ferroviario hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Operario Ferroviario 2-1 Corumbaense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
