Zenit Women delivered a 4-0 victory over Yenisey Women, a result that was both comprehensive and predictable according to the data. The Lemeister model had projected a 3-0 home win with a 70 per cent probability for Zenit, and the final scoreline exceeded even that expectation. The match was decided in two high-impact spells either side of half-time, with Zenit's efficiency in front of goal proving decisive against a Yenisey side that struggled to create meaningful chances. The clean sheet was maintained without a single card issued, reflecting a disciplined performance from the home side.
The scoring began in the 29th minute when N. Matejic converted from a V. Kuropatkina assist for a normal goal. This opener appeared to settle Zenit, as they doubled their lead just three minutes later. D. Ishmukhametova finished a move started by A. Andreeva in the 32nd minute, giving the home side a firm grip on proceedings before the interval. The quick double-strike effectively ended the contest as a competitive affair, with Yenisey failing to register a single shot on target in the first half according to the data, leaving them with no platform to respond before the break.
Zenit maintained their control after half-time and added a third in the 64th minute. N. Matejic scored her second of the afternoon, this time assisted by Z. Stupar, to put the result beyond any doubt. The fourth and final goal arrived in the 84th minute, with Z. Stupar turning scorer from an A. Shuba assist. Zenit's ability to spread the goals across multiple players highlighted the depth of their attacking threat, while the defensive unit ensured the clean sheet remained intact. The visitors never threatened to breach the Zenit backline, with their shot count stifled by sustained pressure.
The underlying statistical picture reinforced Zenit's overwhelming superiority. They recorded 62 per cent possession, a figure that reflected their control of the midfield areas and the difficulty Yenisey faced in building sustained attacks. From that platform, Zenit generated 18 shots to Yenisey's four, with nine of those efforts finding the target compared to just one from the visitors. The expected goals data told a similarly one-sided story: Zenit amassed 3.2 xG, while Yenisey managed only 0.4. This discrepancy indicates that the 4-0 scoreline was a fair reflection of the chances created, with the home side's shot volume and quality far exceeding their opponents. The difference between projected goals from the model, 3.0, and actual xG of 3.2 suggests minor variance in execution rather than any systemic flaw in Zenit's approach.
In terms of individual performances, the match ratings provided clear standouts. N. Matejic earned the highest rating of 8.9, underpinning her two-goal contribution and general influence on the game from an attacking midfield role. Z. Stupar followed closely with a rating of 8.5, having both scored and assisted, demonstrating versatility in the final third. V. Kuropatkina and A. Andreeva, each credited with an assist, also registered strong ratings of 8.1 and 8.0 respectively, highlighting their creative output from wide positions. D. Ishmukhametova and A. Shuba completed the list of nameable players with ratings of 7.8 and 7.5, both contributing directly to the attacking output, while the remainder of the squad posted solid but unremarkable numbers consistent with a dominant team performance.
This result strengthens Zenit's position at the top of the Supreme Division Women table, extending their winning run and maintaining their goal difference advantage in a competitive title race. For Yenisey, the defeat leaves them in the lower half of the standings, with the data suggesting a significant gap in quality between the sides at this level. The Lemeister model's prediction of a comfortable home win proved accurate, with Zenit delivering exactly the kind of controlled performance expected of a title contender at this stage of the season. The margin of victory, however, was one goal greater than projected, reflecting an clinical afternoon in front of goal that will concern visiting sides ahead of future fixtures.
