JFK Ventspils v Smiltene: the model read
JFK Ventspils meet Smiltene in the 1. Liga regular season - 15. The model makes JFK Ventspils the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% JFK, 28% draw, 30% SMI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans JFK Ventspils, 38% against 25%. Attacking output favors Smiltene on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 70%, over 2.5 goals around 74%. Draw no bet leans JFK Ventspils at 58%; double chance reads JFK Ventspils or draw 70%, Smiltene or draw 58%.
JFK Ventspils arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Riga Mariners, L 1-3 v JDFS Alberts, W 3-0 @ Skanste, D 1-1 @ Rēzekne FA.
Smiltene are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 8 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 3-5 v Rīgas FS II, W 1-0 v Rēzekne FA, L 1-2 @ Mārupe, L 2-4 v Skanste.
JFK Ventspils hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Smiltene 3-3 JFK Ventspils.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
