Ivinhema v Bataguassu: the model read
Ivinhema meet Bataguassu in the Sul-Matogrossense quarter-finals. The model makes Bataguassu the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 35% IVI, 29% draw, 37% BAT.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 43%. Attacking output favors Bataguassu on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 72%, over 2.5 goals around 73%. Draw no bet leans Bataguassu at 52%; double chance reads Ivinhema or draw 63%, Bataguassu or draw 65%.
Ivinhema arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ ASA, L 1-2 v ASA, D 1-1 @ Democrata GV, W 3-1 v Democrata GV.
Bataguassu are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Operario Ferroviario, L 1-3 v Operario Ferroviario, W 4-0 @ Naviraiense, L 0-1 v Naviraiense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output