Corumbaense v Dourados Atlético: the model read
Corumbaense meet Dourados Atlético in the Sul-Matogrossense quarter-finals. The model makes Dourados Atlético the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 32% COR, 31% draw, 37% DOU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 48%. Attacking output favors Dourados Atlético on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Dourados Atlético at 54%; double chance reads Corumbaense or draw 63%, Dourados Atlético or draw 68%.
Corumbaense arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Operario Ferroviario, L 1-2 v Operario Ferroviario, W 2-0 v Dourados Atlético, D 1-1 @ Dourados Atlético.
Dourados Atlético are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Corumbaense, D 1-1 v Corumbaense, D 3-3 v CR Aquidauana, L 0-2 @ Corumbaense.
Dourados Atlético hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Corumbaense 2-0 Dourados Atlético.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
