Hebei Kungfu v Nantong Zhiyun

Hebei Kungfu meet Nantong Zhiyun in the League One regular season - 16 at Yutong International Sports Center, Shijiazhuang. The model makes Nantong Zhiyun the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 24% HEB, 37% draw, 40% NAN.

Nantong Zhiyun rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1535 to 1400. Recent form leans Nantong Zhiyun, 55% against 30%. Attacking output favors Nantong Zhiyun on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 15%, over 2.5 goals around 12%. Draw no bet leans Nantong Zhiyun at 63%; double chance reads Hebei Kungfu or draw 60%, Nantong Zhiyun or draw 76%.

Hebei Kungfu arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Nantong Zhiyun, D 0-0 v Yanbian Longding, L 0-2 @ Guangzhou E-Power, L 1-2 @ Ningbo Professional.

Nantong Zhiyun are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Hebei Kungfu, W 2-1 @ Dongguan United, D 0-0 @ Shenzhen Juniors, L 1-3 v Meizhou Kejia.

Hebei Kungfu hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Hebei Kungfu 1-1 Nantong Zhiyun.

The market prices HEB at 24% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 6.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.