Where the market is wrong on Kaspiy v FK Tobol Kostanay
Kaspiy meet FK Tobol Kostanay in the Premier League regular season - 24 at Zhestar Stadium, Aktau.
The baseline ratings are close, 1492 to 1468, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 47% against 45%. Attacking output favors Kaspiy on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.2 per match.
Kaspiy arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v FK Tobol Kostanay, D 2-2 v Yelimay Semey, D 1-1 v Ulytau, L 2-3 @ Irtysh.
FK Tobol Kostanay are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Kaspiy, W 3-2 v Kaisar, W 2-0 @ Irtysh, L 1-2 v FK Partizan.
FK Tobol Kostanay hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kaspiy 1-0 FK Tobol Kostanay.
The market prices KAS at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on Kaspiy: a 7.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
