Chapecoense-sc won the Catarinense 1 final 1-0 against Barra, a victory decided by a single goal in the 89th minute. The Lemeister model had rated the match as a near-perfect toss-up, giving Barra a marginal 34 per cent chance with Chapecoense-sc at 33 per cent and the draw also at 33 per cent. The projected scoreline had been 0-1 in favour of Barra, making the home side's narrow win a slight deviation from the pre-match expectation. The result therefore hinged on a late moment of quality from a player who produced when it mattered most.
The only goal of the match arrived in the 89th minute, scored by Jean Carlos. No assist was recorded. It was a normal goal, meaning it came from open play and not via a penalty or own goal. With the clock winding down and extra time looming, Jean Carlos struck to give Chapecoense-sc the lead, and they held on through the remaining minutes plus added time to secure the trophy. The timing of the goal meant Barra had little opportunity to respond, and the match ended with the home side celebrating a hard-fought title.
The underlying statistics tell a story of a match that was finely balanced. Possession, shots, and expected goals data are not available in the match report, but the card count provides insight into the contest's physical intensity. Five yellow cards were issued in total: one to Chapecoense-sc's Camilo Reijers in the 22nd minute, another unnamed Chapecoense-sc player in the 47th minute, and three for Barra, with two arriving in the 99th minute and one in the 101st. The late flurry of bookings for Barra suggests frustration as they pushed for an equaliser, while Chapecoense-sc's discipline held firm under pressure.
Camilo Reijers, who was cautioned in the first half, can be identified as a key defensive presence for Chapecoense-sc. His booking indicates he was involved in a significant challenge, but he avoided further punishment and remained on the pitch for the entire match. Jean Carlos, the match-winner, will have been the stand-out performer for his decisive contribution, though no match ratings are provided to assess his full 90-minute display. The lack of player ratings means any deeper individual analysis is not possible, but the goal itself was sufficient to decide the outcome.
The fact that both teams used all five substitutions shows the tactical depth and physical demands of the final. Chapecoense-sc's ability to manage the game through changes, particularly after taking the lead so late, would have been crucial. Barra, despite being the slight model favourite, could not find a way through the home defence, which remained organised and resilient throughout. The absence of saves or shots on target data makes it impossible to evaluate the goalkeepers' contributions, but the clean sheet suggests Chapecoense-sc defended their lead effectively.
This result gives Chapecoense-sc the Catarinense 1 title, a prestigious achievement in the regional competition. For Barra, who entered the final as marginal favourites according to the Lemeister model, the defeat will be a bitter one, coming so late in the match. The trophy adds to Chapecoense-sc's history in the competition, while Barra must regroup after coming within minutes of forcing extra time. The final was defined by the finest of margins, and Chapecoense-sc proved the more clinical when it counted.
