Charlton Athletic W v Liverpool W: the model read
Charlton Athletic W meet Liverpool W in the FA Women's Cup quarter-finals at The Valley, London. The model makes Charlton Athletic W the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 44% CHA, 28% draw, 28% LIV.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Charlton Athletic W, 63% against 48%. Attacking output favors Charlton Athletic W on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 72%. Draw no bet leans Charlton Athletic W at 61%; double chance reads Charlton Athletic W or draw 72%, Liverpool W or draw 56%.
Charlton Athletic W arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Leicester City FC W, L 0-2 v Birmingham City W, D 2-2 @ Southampton W, L 0-1 v Liverpool W.
Liverpool W are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Arsenal W, L 2-3 v Brighton W, L 0-1 @ Manchester City W, L 0-1 v West Ham W.
Liverpool W hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Charlton Athletic W 0-1 Liverpool W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output